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The Nifty index ended November with a modest 1% decline, but futures rollovers surged to 79.34%, indicating increased trader hedging amid expectations of a potential turning point. As December begins, open interest has risen to 1.29 crore shares, reflecting aggressive short positioning and a higher cost of carry at +0.97%, suggesting bears are betting on continued negative sentiment.
The rise of corporate bond ETFs is driving a surge in large portfolio trades, with transactions exceeding $500 million now making up nearly a quarter of US corporate bond trading activity, a significant increase from less than 1% in 2018. As of last month, these portfolio transactions accounted for about 25% of all high-grade corporate bond trades between clients and dealers, according to Barclays Plc.
Despite a softening advertising market, college football remains a lucrative draw for networks, with Disney's platforms experiencing record viewership this season due to the expanded 12-team College Football Playoff format. Advertisers are seeing increased engagement, with Disney's ad slots proving significantly more effective than competitors. As a result, Disney has sold out most of its advertising spots for the upcoming championship games, reflecting a strong demand for college football content.
Maria Angelicoussis, Greece’s wealthiest shipping magnate, is shifting her family office's focus towards publicly traded investments after achieving significant gains in private markets. Under the leadership of former hedge fund executive Laura Lavers, Nicrone, the investment firm of the Angelicoussis Group, is moving away from its previous heavy allocation to private markets.
The Bank of England has warned that non-bank financial institutions are often ill-equipped to handle crises, lacking the ability to anticipate the behavior of counterparties, investors, and markets during stressful periods. This assessment follows a year-long examination of how various market participants, including hedge funds and asset managers, would react to sudden shocks in global financial markets.
The Bank of England has raised concerns about private equity's growing involvement in the insurance sector, warning that it increases the risk of "fire sales" that could destabilize financial markets. Many US private equity firms are acquiring life insurers, while UK insurers are shifting risk to PE-backed reinsurers, which often pursue higher returns through riskier, illiquid investments.
Active momentum funds are gaining popularity as major fund houses like Axis MF, Nippon MF, and Union AMC launch new schemes, despite the presence of over 20 passive options. Fund managers argue that the active approach, which involves continuous market analysis, is crucial for navigating inherent risks, especially during market downturns. Umeshkumar Mehta from Samco Mutual Fund highlights that momentum strategies have thrived in India's rising market over the past 15 years, emphasizing the need for flexibility in active management.
Market returns in India are expected to moderate after two years of strong performance, as the equity market faces challenges like slowing earnings growth and high valuations. In response, traders are turning to pair trading, a strategy that allows them to profit from the relative performance of two correlated stocks while minimizing market exposure. Short-term pair trade ideas include JSW Steel versus Tata Steel, offering opportunities in a sideways market.
Shares of Paytm and CAMS surged 3 percent, reaching 52-week highs of Rs 952 and Rs 5,098.80, respectively. CAMS has seen an 89 percent increase year-to-date, while Paytm has gained 47 percent. Their inclusion in the F&O segment is expected to enhance liquidity and open new trading opportunities, also qualifying them for potential entry into the Nifty 50 index.
Wall Street banks are poised for their worst trading year since the pandemic, with projected revenues from foreign-exchange and rates trading falling significantly. Over 250 firms, including major players like Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, are expected to generate $32 billion from Group-of-10 rates and $16.7 billion from currencies, marking declines of 17% and 9% respectively.
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